Focus on Fundamentals

The start of fall has not been kind to the markets with global averages down 6% since the early September high. Popular reasons include slowdown in Europe and China, unrest in the Middle East, and concerns about the spread of Ebola. While we should not underestimate the significance of these concerns, it is important to… Continue reading Focus on Fundamentals

The Deafening Ticks of the Taper Clock

We have been saying for the last several months that our biggest concern that could create a pullback in the market is the beginning of the Fed Taper.  This is exactly what we have been seeing over the last few weeks as better economic data has increased the probability that the Fed will taper sooner… Continue reading The Deafening Ticks of the Taper Clock

Madness Maneuvered as Markets Continue Ascent

There is little evidence that the fiscal follies of Sept./Oct. have slowed the US economy. We believe growth is likely to pick up to a 3-3½% pace in 2014, for three main reasons: The decline in federal spending is likely to slow sharply. We expect a meaningful acceleration in consumer spending. We expect capital spending… Continue reading Madness Maneuvered as Markets Continue Ascent